Day-Trading Scenarios for Dec 19, 2025

Narrow range to start on options expiration day or Quad witching as it is called. As of this report the Dow range is only 257 points. We are into daily support around 48125.

The backdrop is supportive for equities, bolstered by the Federal Reserve's recent rate cut (to 3.5–3.75%) and cooler-than-expected November inflation data (headline CPI at 2.7% YoY vs. 3.1% expected). This has raised hopes for more accommodative policy in 2026.

• Recent market drivers include rotation out of tech/AI names into value/blue-chips (benefiting the price-weighted Dow), strong earnings momentum in industrials, and resilient U.S. growth.

• Risks include any hawkish reinterpretations of Fed guidance, rising unemployment signals from jobs data, or renewed AI bubble concerns spilling over.

• Year-end forecasts generally point to moderate upside, with closes projected in the 47,000–48,000+ range for the DJIA equivalent, supported by rate-cut optimism and seasonal strength.

Quadruple Witching

Corporate Profits

 8:30 AM ET

Personal Income and Outlays

 10:00 AM ET

Existing Home Sales

 10:00 AM ET

Consumer Sentiment

 10:00 AM ET

Baker Hughes Rig Count

 1:00 PM ET

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

DATE: 12/19/2025

TIME: 8:54 AM

HIGH: 48728

LOW: 48146

CLOSE: 48321

PIVOT: 48398

SUPPORT: 48111

RESISTANCE: 48683

SWING MAGNITUDE: 203

TIME OF COMMENT: 8:54 AM

COMMENT: For today's real-time trading calls enjoy a One Week Trial at https://www.eminiace.com/services