Day-Trading Scenarios for Dec 3, 2025

ADP report became a classic reversal. All the traders who were short get blasted out when the market spikes up with a 45 point move up. Immediately professional sellers fade the move and we crash 125 points.

Seasonal and Policy Backdrop: December's historical +1.3% average S&P gain persists as a tailwind, but policy uncertainty (e.g., Trump's tariff threats and Fed chair speculation) caps enthusiasm. 70% of analysts talk breakout potential for a move near-term upside to Dow 48640. But if tech stocks do not follow through in the next week Chrismas rally will fail and we go to 46750.

MBA Mortgage Applications

 7:00 AM ET

ADP Employment Report

 8:15 AM ET

Import and Export Prices

 8:30 AM ET

Industrial Production

 9:15 AM ET

PMI Composite Final

 9:45 AM ET

ISM Services Index

 10:00 AM ET

EIA Petroleum Status Report

 10:30 AM ET

Treasury Buyback Announcement

 11:00 AM ET

Treasury Buyback Announcement (Preliminary)

 11:00 AM ET

4-Month Bill Auction

 11:30 AM ET

Treasury Buyback Results

 2:00 PM ET

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DATE: 12/3/2025

TIME: 9:23 AM

HIGH: 47668

LOW: 47269

CLOSE: 47544

PIVOT: 47494

SUPPORT: 47265

RESISTANCE: 47733

SWING MAGNITUDE: 224

TIME OF COMMENT: 9:23 AM