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Day-Trading Scenarios for Jun 25, 2026

We start the morning plus 132. Buying pullbacks.


  • Recent Context: The cash Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 51,848.90 on Wednesday, June 24 (+0.35%), outperforming the broader market amid tech weakness earlier in the week. The index has shown resilience thanks to its value and industrial composition during rotation away from high-growth tech/AI names.

  • Today's Drivers: Futures are trading modestly higher (around the 52,300–52,400 zone premarket, up ~0.2–0.3%). Key positive catalyst is Micron Technology's (MU) strong earnings and forward guidance, which has eased some AI spending/ROI concerns and sparked a tech rebound (Nasdaq futures up sharply ~2%). Economic data includes final Q1 GDP revisions and new home sales; later focus shifts to core PCE (Fed's preferred inflation read) tomorrow. Recent flash PMIs showed solid manufacturing/services expansion, supporting a resilient economy narrative despite employment softness.


Overall, fundamentals lean mildly bullish short-term, driven by earnings relief in semis/memory chips and economic resilience, though broader rate/inflation vigilance and geopolitical factors remain in the background.


On the bearish side:

There are sell stops at 52292. If we hit that, I will be taking a short position.


6-Week Bill Settlement


Durable Goods Orders

 8:30 AM ET


GDP

 8:30 AM ET


Jobless Claims

 8:30 AM ET


Personal Income and Outlays

 8:30 AM ET


Chicago Fed National Activity Index

 8:30 AM ET


Corporate Profits

 8:30 AM ET


Retail Inventories (Advance)

 8:30 AM ET


Wholesale Inventories (Advance)

 8:30 AM ET


EIA Natural Gas Report

 10:30 AM ET


Treasury Buyback Announcement

 11:00 AM ET


3-Month Bill Announcement

 11:00 AM ET


6-Week Bill Announcement

 11:00 AM ET


6-Month Bill Announcement

 11:00 AM ET


Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

 11:00 AM ET


4-Week Bill Auction

 11:30 AM ET


8-Week Bill Auction

 11:30 AM ET


7-Yr Note Auction

 1:00 PM ET


Treasury Buyback Results

 2:00 PM ET


Fed Balance Sheet

 4:30 PM ET


<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

DATE: 6/25/2026

TIME: 9:17 AM

HIGH: 52676

LOW: 51933

CLOSE: 52279

PIVOT: 52296

SUPPORT: 52291

RESISTANCE: 52693

SWING MAGNITUDE: 215

TIME OF COMMENT: 9:17 AM

COMMENT: For today's real-time trading calls enjoy a One Week Trial at https://www.eminiace.com/services



 
 
 

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