Day-Trading Scenarios for Mar 25, 2026
- Alex Wasilewski
- Mar 25
- 1 min read
Wide ranges continue. swing Magnitude Factor 268.
Wait for momentum to synch with trend and look to buy large selloffs, but only after the reversals.
First support is 46610. First resistance is 46999.
The session was part of a multi-day selloff heading into triple witching expiration, with high trading volumes hitting 2026 highs. Price action was heavy on the downside: futures opened around the 46,100–46,200 area but accelerated lower in the afternoon as oil prices reversed early losses and surged, pushing Treasury yields higher.
Geopolitics remains the dominant fundamental — the Iran/Middle East conflict continues to support oil prices and sticky inflation, which has forced the Fed to pause rate cuts (holding at 3.5–3.75% after the March meeting) and now price in only one 25 bp cut for the rest of 2026
MBA Mortgage Applications
7:00 AM ET
Durable Goods Orders
8:30 AM ET
Import and Export Prices
8:30 AM ET
Current Account
8:30 AM ET
Retail Inventories (Advance)
8:30 AM ET
Wholesale Inventories (Advance)
8:30 AM ET
EIA Petroleum Status Report
10:30 AM ET
Treasury Buyback Announcement
11:00 AM ET
Treasury Buyback Announcement (Preliminary)
11:00 AM ET
Survey of Business Uncertainty
11:00 AM ET
4-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM ET
2-Yr FRN Note Auction
11:30 AM ET
5-Yr Note Auction
1:00 PM ET
Treasury Buyback Results
2:00 PM ET
Stephen Miran Speaks
4:10 PM ET
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DATE: 3/25/2026
TIME: 9:24 AM
HIGH: 46905
LOW: 46046
CLOSE: 46415
PIVOT: 46455
SUPPORT: 46365
RESISTANCE: 47233
SWING MAGNITUDE: 268
TIME OF COMMENT: 9:24 AM
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