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Day-Trading Scenarios for ‘———————-Nov 24, 2025

December FOMC cut odds have plunged to ~41–47% (per CME FedWatch and FactSet), down sharply from 97% in mid-October, on hotter jobs/inflation data and a divided FOMC (per recent minutes: “strongly differing views,” with hawks pushing hold at 3.75–4%). Broader tone: Neutral to cautious — positive on resilient earnings/growth but wary of policy uncertainty. Holiday thinning may amplify moves; watch for spill-over from Eurozone data (e.g., ECB’s Elderson at 7:45 AM EST).


Bias into the open: Bullish lean — buy dips to 46,250–46,300. Watch for stochastic hooks. Daily still in downtrend. Consider shorting near next resistance at 46577.


Chicago Fed National Activity Index8:30 AM ET

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey10:30 AM ET

3-Month Bill Auction11:30 AM ET

6-Month Bill Auction11:30 AM ET

2-Yr Note Auction1:00 PM ET


<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<DATE: 11/24/2025TIME: 8:39 AMHIGH: 46656LOW: 45779CLOSE: 46321PIVOT: 46252SUPPORT: 46150RESISTANCE: 46634SWING MAGNITUDE: 231TIME OF COMMENT: 8:39 AM

 
 
 

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