Day-Trading Scenarios for Dec 30, 2025

The market has formed a triangle: Lower highs; higher lows. The best way to trade is to fade the reversals until a trend develops.

The DJIA and its futures continue in a long-term bullish trend, but near-term momentum has cooled after recent all-time highs near 49,750. Key points:

• The index remains above key moving averages, with support around 48,000–48,300 and resistance at recent highs.

• Technical indicators show mixed signals: many point to sell in the short term (overbought conditions after 2025 gains), but overall opinions lean toward buy with weak strength on longer timeframes.

Positives for 2026:

• Expected continued Fed easing (potentially supportive of risk assets), corporate profit growth, and potential value rotation as yield curves steepen.

4-Month Bill Settlement

Case-Shiller Home Price Index

 9:00 AM ET

FHFA House Price Index

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Chicago PMI

 9:45 AM ET

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8-Week Bill Announcement

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4-Month Bill Announcement

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6-Week Bill Auction

 11:30 AM ET

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DATE: 12/30/2025

TIME: 9:30 AM

HIGH: 49052

LOW: 48665

CLOSE: 48749

PIVOT: 48822

SUPPORT: 48658

RESISTANCE: 48994

SWING MAGNITUDE: 159

TIME OF COMMENT: 9:30 AM