Day-Trading Scenarios for Dec 5, 2025

We are starting with a very narrow range. As of mid-morning trading on December 5, 2025, E-mini Dow Jones futures (YM Dec '25 contract) are showing mild strength, up +0.11% to 47,967.00, after a flat open amid pre-PCE caution. The contract settled Thursday at 47,916.00, down slightly -0.07% from Wednesday's close, but remains within striking distance of the 52-week high at 48,528.00.

Volume is light (~125K contracts vs. 5-day avg of 150K), typical for early December, with open interest steady at ~78,000. Overall technical bias leans bullish on higher timeframes, though short-term overbought signals suggest potential consolidation ahead of today's key inflation data.

Looking to buy any SMF selloffs.

Personal Income and Outlays

 8:30 AM ET

Consumer Sentiment

 10:00 AM ET

Factory Orders

 10:00 AM ET

Baker Hughes Rig Count

 1:00 PM ET

Consumer Credit

 3:00 PM ET

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DATE: 12/5/2025

TIME: 8:28 AM

HIGH: 48132

LOW: 47756

CLOSE: 47916

PIVOT: 47935

SUPPORT: 47797

RESISTANCE: 48177

SWING MAGNITUDE: 214

TIME OF COMMENT: 8:28 AM

• RSI (14): 56.38 (Buy) – Neutral territory, up from oversold (<40) in early December, indicating room for further gains without immediate reversal risk.

• MACD (12,26): 9.57 (Buy) – Histogram positive and expanding, with the line above the signal, supporting bullish momentum from the 45,778 base.

• Stochastics (9,6): 99.84 (Overbought) – %K near 100 signals short-term exhaustion; watch for a pullback if it dips below 80.

• ADX (14): 25.48 (Neutral) – Moderate trend strength; above 25 favors continuation of the impulse rally.

• Williams %R: -0.07 (Overbought) – Echoes stochastics; potential for mean reversion near current highs.

• CCI (14): 142.33 (Buy) – Above +100 confirms upward bias but flags overextension.

• ATR (14): 39.5 – Low volatility (~0.08% daily range), amplifying potential moves on PCE surprises.