Day-Trading Scenarios for Jan 15, 2026

Good reversal at the lows yesterday. Market needs to break above 49470 to continue the assault on 50,000.

Next good support is the daily pivot at 49271. Below that 49199. Resistance starts at 49466, then 49508. Two way trading until after the 10:00 am Crable time.

The cash Dow pulled back modestly on Wednesday amid mixed bank earnings (e.g., softer revenue at some names like Wells Fargo) and ongoing digestion of economic data, but premarket strength suggests buyers stepping in on the dip.

Indicators: Momentum has cooled but not turned deeply bearish. Oversold conditions on shorter timeframes (e.g., intraday RSI) could support a bounce. Moving averages remain aligned bullishly on daily/weekly charts, with price above longer-term supports. Volatility is moderate; a VIX dip would favor equity recovery.

Strong TSMC earnings overnight (35% profit jump, capex guidance $52–56B for 2026) boosting chip sector sentiment and spilling into Nasdaq futures.

30-Yr Bond Settlement

Jobless Claims

8:30 AM ET

Retail Sales

8:30 AM ET

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

8:30 AM ET

Empire State Manufacturing Index

8:30 AM ET

Import and Export Prices

8:30 AM ET

Raphael Bostic Speaks

8:35 AM ET

Michael Barr Speaks

9:15 AM ET

Business Inventories

10:00 AM ET

EIA Natural Gas Report

10:30 AM ET

Treasury Buyback Announcement

11:00 AM ET

3-Month Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

6-Week Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

6-Month Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

52-Week Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

10-Yr TIPS Announcement

11:00 AM ET

20-Yr Bond Announcement

11:00 AM ET

4-Week Bill Auction

11:30 AM ET

8-Week Bill Auction

11:30 AM ET

Tom Barkin Speaks

12:40 PM ET

Jeffrey Schmid Speaks

1:30 PM ET

Treasury Buyback Results

2:00 PM ET

Treasury International Capital

4:00 PM ET

Fed Balance Sheet

4:30 PM ET

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

DATE: 1/15/2026

TIME: 8:28 AM

HIGH: 49400

LOW: 49057

CLOSE: 49356

PIVOT: 49271

SUPPORT: 49066

RESISTANCE: 49605

SWING MAGNITUDE: 245

TIME OF COMMENT: 8:28 AM

COMMENT: For today's real-time trading calls enjoy a One Week Trial at https://www.eminiace.com/services