Day-Trading Scenarios for Mar 26, 2026

Market in daily trading range 47146 to 45482

Today's range is 474 points to start. We fade breakouts.

As of early morning trading (around 9:17 AM EDT), the June contract opened at 46,726 but quickly reversed, hitting a low of 46,271 and trading near 46,328 (down ~0.8% from yesterday’s close and ~1% from the open). Volume remains light early on (~20k contracts).

The broader technical picture remains corrective and bearish:

Price has been in a clear downtrend since mid-February highs near 48,500–49,000, now sitting well below the 200-day moving average (~47,400) and the 50-day SMA.

Yesterday’s high (47,036) failed to reclaim key overhead resistance near 47,000–47,400.

Near-term support clusters around 46,200–46,000 (recent swing lows) and then 45,700 (November 2025 low area). A break below 46,200 would accelerate selling toward 45,700–45,165.

Resistance sits at 46,700–46,800 (today’s open + yesterday’s close), then 47,000–47,400.

Momentum indicators (RSI) are oversold on the daily/weekly but have not yet flashed a clear reversal. The structure favors cautious bulls only above 46,700 and aggressive bears below 46,200 on a 15–30 minute close.

6-Week Bill Settlement

Jobless Claims

8:30 AM ET

EIA Natural Gas Report

10:30 AM ET

Treasury Buyback Announcement

11:00 AM ET

3-Month Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

6-Week Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

6-Month Bill Announcement

11:00 AM ET

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

11:00 AM ET

4-Week Bill Auction

11:30 AM ET

8-Week Bill Auction

11:30 AM ET

7-Yr Note Auction

1:00 PM ET

Treasury Buyback Results

2:00 PM ET

Lisa Cook Speaks

4:00 PM ET

Fed Balance Sheet

4:30 PM ET

Stephen Miran Speaks

6:30 PM ET

Philip Jefferson Speaks

7:00 PM ET

Michael Barr Speaks

7:10 PM ET

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

DATE: 3/26/2026

TIME: 9:24 AM

HIGH: 47036

LOW: 46480

CLOSE: 46711

PIVOT: 46742

SUPPORT: 46103

RESISTANCE: 46811

SWING MAGNITUDE: 249

TIME OF COMMENT: 9:24 AM

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